Viewing archive of Saturday, 9 November 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 09 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 314 Issued at 2200Z on 09 NOV 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. A SMALL SPOT
BECAME VISIBLE NEAR S01E66 AND WAS NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 7993.
THIS AREA PRODUCED SEVERAL SMALL B-CLASS ENHANCEMENTS. IN
RECENT SOHO EUV IMAGES, A CORONAL HOLE APPEARS TO BE FORMING
IN THE CENTER OF THE DISK SLIGHTLY WEST OF CENTRAL MERIDIAN.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THERE IS A SLIGHT
POSSIBILITY OF A SMALL C-CLASS FLARE FROM NEW REGION 7993.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
BRIEF ACTIVE CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED AT MID AND HIGH
LATITUDES NEAR 09/1200Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 10 NOV to 12 NOV
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 NOV 070 Predicted 10 NOV-12 NOV 070/070/071 90 Day Mean 09 NOV 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 NOV 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 NOV 010/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 NOV-12 NOV 010/008-008/010-005/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 NOV to 12 NOV
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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