Viewing archive of Thursday, 14 November 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 14 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 319 Issued at 2200Z on 14 NOV 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. NEW REGION 7996 (N31E35), A THREE SPOT 'BSO' GROUP, WAS NUMBERED TODAY. REGION 7995 (N00E34), A THREE SPOT 'AXX' GROUP, REMAINS STABLE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 15 NOV to 17 NOV
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       14 NOV  074
  Predicted   15 NOV-17 NOV  074/074/072
  90 Day Mean        14 NOV  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 13 NOV  012/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 NOV  015/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 NOV-17 NOV  015/020-015/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 NOV to 17 NOV
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%15%10%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%15%10%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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