Viewing archive of Wednesday, 4 December 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 04 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 339 Issued at 2200Z on 04 DEC 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. THE VISIBLE DISK IS QUIET AND ESSENTIALLY FEATURELESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A SINGLE INTERVAL OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS RECORDED DURING THE PERIOD 04/1500-1800Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND THEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 05 DEC to 07 DEC
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       04 DEC  071
  Predicted   05 DEC-07 DEC  072/072/070
  90 Day Mean        04 DEC  073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 03 DEC  007/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 DEC  006/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 DEC-07 DEC  005/005-010/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 DEC to 07 DEC
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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