Viewing archive of Wednesday, 8 January 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 8 Issued at 2200Z on 08 JAN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8009 (S05W57) IS
SPOTLESS. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOLAR DISK IS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET WITH ONE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED
ACTIVITY FROM 03-06Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS AND THEN INCREASE
TO MOSTLY UNSETTLED LEVELS ON DAY THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 09 JAN to 11 JAN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 JAN 074 Predicted 09 JAN-11 JAN 074/074/076 90 Day Mean 08 JAN 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JAN 011/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JAN 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JAN-11 JAN 005/008-005/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 JAN to 11 JAN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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