Viewing archive of Friday, 31 January 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 31 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 031 Issued at 2200Z on 31 JAN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8015 (N05E07), HAS SLOWLY DECAYED TO A THREE SPOT BXO GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS AT HIGH LATITUDES FROM 31/03-06Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS HAVE BEEN AT HIGH TO VERY HIGH LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS. WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
III. Event Probabilities 01 FEB to 03 FEB
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       31 JAN 072
  Predicted   01 FEB-03 FEB  074/074/074
  90 Day Mean        31 JAN 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 JAN  012/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 JAN  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 FEB-03 FEB  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 FEB to 03 FEB
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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