Viewing archive of Thursday, 13 February 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Feb 13 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 044 Issued at 2200Z on 13 FEB 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z

THE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED VERY LOW. A SMALL FILAMENT LOCATED NEAR N08E29 EXHIBITED NON-ERUPTIVE DISSOLUTION DURING THE PERIOD.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 14 FEB to 16 FEB
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       13 FEB 071
  Predicted   14 FEB-16 FEB  071/071/071
  90 Day Mean        13 FEB 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 FEB  008/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 FEB  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 FEB-16 FEB  005/005-005/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 FEB to 16 FEB
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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