Viewing archive of Friday, 7 March 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 07 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 066 Issued at 2200Z on 07 MAR 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A SMALL TRAILER SPOT IN REGION 8020 (N09E62) BECAME VISIBLE TODAY, MAKING THE GROUP A SIMPLE CAO CLASS GROUP. THE REGION WAS VERY QUIET AND STABLE FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. NO FLARES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED DURING THE REPORTING PERIOD, AND YESTERDAY'S TYPE III RADIO SWEEP ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. AN INTERVAL OF SOMEWHAT ELEVATED ACTIVITY OCCURRED FROM 0900Z-1600Z: MID-LATITUDES WERE UNSETTLED AND HIGH LATITUDE SITES WERE AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED LIKELIHOOD FOR OCCASIONAL ACTIVE PERIODS LATE ON THE THIRD DAY BECAUSE A CORONAL HOLE WILL BE ROTATING INTO A FAVORABLE POSITION AT THAT TIME.
III. Event Probabilities 08 MAR to 10 MAR
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 MAR 074
  Predicted   08 MAR-10 MAR  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        07 MAR 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 MAR  010/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 MAR  007/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 MAR-10 MAR  010/008-010/010-012/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 MAR to 10 MAR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%15%20%
Minor storm01%01%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%15%25%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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