Viewing archive of Tuesday, 20 May 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 May 20 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 140 Issued at 2200Z on 20 MAY 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WAS NO SIGNIFICANT FLARE ACTIVITY. THE SPOTTED REGIONS CONTINUED TO SHOW SLOW GROWTH.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW TO LOW. ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET WITH A SINGLE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED LEVELS AT MID LATITUDES AT ABOUT 20/0900Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 21 MAY to 23 MAY
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       20 MAY 079
  Predicted   21 MAY-23 MAY  080/080/078
  90 Day Mean        20 MAY 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 19 MAY  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 MAY  007/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 MAY-23 MAY  005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 MAY to 23 MAY
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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