Viewing archive of Friday, 30 May 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 May 30 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 150 Issued at 2200Z on 30 MAY 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8047 (N27E31) REMAINS STABLE AS A 3 SPOT 'CRO' BETA GROUP, WHILE REGION 8046 (S26W29) HAS DECAYED INTO A SPOTLESS PLAGE. NEW REGIONS 8048 (S28E56) AND 8049 (S26E17), BOTH SINGLE SPOT 'AXX' GROUPS, WERE NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, EXCEPT FOR AN ISOLATED INTERVAL OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS AT HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE PERIOD 30/1500-1800Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 31 MAY to 02 JUN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 MAY 075
  Predicted   31 MAY-02 JUN  076/076/076
  90 Day Mean        30 MAY 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 MAY  004/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 MAY  006/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 MAY-02 JUN  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 MAY to 02 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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