Viewing archive of Tuesday, 3 June 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jun 03 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 154 Issued at 2200Z on 03 JUN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S28E03) IS
THE ONLY SPOT GROUP NOW VISIBLE. LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE OCCURRED
DURING THE PERIOD.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ONE
EPISODE OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS OCCURRED FROM 0600-0900Z, AS A RESULT
OF A SHORT-LIVED SUBSTORM.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACTIVE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS
ANTICIPATED IN RESPONSE TO A DSF/CME ON MAY 31. QUIET TO UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THE LAST TWO DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 04 JUN to 06 JUN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 JUN 075 Predicted 04 JUN-06 JUN 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 03 JUN 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 JUN 008/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 JUN 008/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 JUN-06 JUN 020/020-010/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 JUN to 06 JUN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 50% | 25% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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