Viewing archive of Thursday, 3 July 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jul 03 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 184 Issued at 2200Z on 03 JUL 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SPOTS SEEN EARLY IN THE DAY IN REGION 8058 (S22E30) HAVE FADED AWAY.
SPOTS MAY BE FORMING IN A NEW PLAGE REGION NEAR S27E13. NO
SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY WAS REPORTED ON THE DISK OR LIMBS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 04 JUL to 06 JUL
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 JUL 069 Predicted 04 JUL-06 JUL 072/072/072 90 Day Mean 03 JUL 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 JUL 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 JUL 005/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 JUL-06 JUL 006/008-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 JUL to 06 JUL
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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