Viewing archive of Saturday, 5 July 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jul 05 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 186 Issued at 2200Z on 05 JUL 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8059 (S30W14) IS THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION ON THE DISK AND CONSISTS OF ONE TO TWO VERY SMALL SPOTS WITHOUT PENUMBRA.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TOMORROW,AND IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE SECOND AND THIRD DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 06 JUL to 08 JUL
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 JUL 070
  Predicted   06 JUL-08 JUL  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        05 JUL 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 JUL  008/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 JUL  005/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 JUL-08 JUL  012/010-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 JUL to 08 JUL
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%05%05%
Minor storm10%01%01%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%10%10%
Minor storm15%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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