Viewing archive of Sunday, 28 December 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Dec 28 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 362 Issued at 2200Z on 28 DEC 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY BECAME VERY LOW. REGION 8124 (S20W23) PRODUCED MINOR FLUCTUATIONS. MINOR MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY REMAINED IN THIS REGION.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE VERY LOW TO LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THERE IS A SMALL POSSIBILITY OF AN M-CLASS EVENT FROM REGION 8124.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD CONTINUED AT A QUIET LEVEL.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD REMAIN QUIET ON 29 DEC. UNSETTLED TO SLIGHTLY ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON 30-31 DEC IN RESPONSE TO A PARTIAL HALO CORONAL MASS EJECTION OBSERVED ON 26 DEC.
III. Event Probabilities 29 DEC to 31 DEC
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       28 DEC 102
  Predicted   29 DEC-31 DEC  102/103/105
  90 Day Mean        28 DEC 094
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 DEC  000/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 DEC  001/002
PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 DEC-31 DEC  005/005-010/008-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 DEC to 31 DEC
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%20%25%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%20%25%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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