Viewing archive of Saturday, 27 March 1999

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1999 Mar 27 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 086 Issued at 2200Z on 27 MAR 1999

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED VERY LOW. TWO NEW REGIONS WERE ASSIGNED. THEY ARE 8500 (N15E03) AND 8501 (N27E67).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. A HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAM MAY IMPACT THE MAGNETOSPHERE ON DAY 3 OF THE INTERVAL.
III. Event Probabilities 28 MAR to 30 MAR
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       27 MAR 105
  Predicted   28 MAR-30 MAR  105/110/110
  90 Day Mean        27 MAR 140
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 MAR  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 MAR  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 MAR-30 MAR  005/008-010/008-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 MAR to 30 MAR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%20%25%
Minor storm05%10%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%20%25%
Minor storm05%10%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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