SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. TODAY'S LARGEST EVENT WAS AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C4 FLARE AT 1049Z. REGION 8891 (S16W58) IS DECLINING SLOWLY BUT CONTINUES TO BE THE LARGEST GROUP ON THE DISK. REGION 8898 (S13E20) CONTINUED TO GROW AND SHOWED OCCASIONAL BRIGHTENINGS AND SUBFLARE ACTIVITY. REGION 8900 (S15W12) IS ALSO GROWING, BUT WAS QUIETER THAN 8898. REGION 8889 (N19W74), WHICH HAS BEEN VERY STABLE OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS, PRODUCED A C3/SF AT 1619Z WHICH WAS ACCOMPANIED BY A BRIGHT SURGE ON THE LIMB. SOHO/EIT IMAGES SHOWED THE ERUPTION OF A FILAMENT IN THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE DISK ON THE 5TH AROUND 1700Z. CORONAGRAPH DATA SHOW THAT THE CME MATERIAL IS NOT DIRECTED TOWARDS THE EARTH.

SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. THERE IS A FAIR CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS FROM REGION 8891, 8898, OR 8900.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. A SOLAR SECTOR BOUNDARY CROSSING WAS OBSERVED AT THE ACE SPACECRAFT AT 06/0200Z. SINCE THAT TIME, SPEEDS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED AND THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY UNSETTLED.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.

  Observed       06 MAR 222
  Predicted   07 MAR-09 MAR  225/220/215
  90 Day Mean        06 MAR 171

OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 MAR  004/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAR  012/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAR-09 MAR  007/010-007/010-007/008