Viewing archive of Wednesday, 26 April 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Apr 26 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 117 Issued at 2200Z on 26 APR 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT THE LOW LEVEL. A C6/SF FLARE FROM REGION 8970 (S15E04) AT 0923Z WAS THE DAY'S LARGEST EVENT. THAT SPOT GROUP MEASURES OVER 1,000 MILLIONTHS IN WHITE LIGHT AREA, BUT HAS A FAIRLY SIMPLE MAGNETIC STRUCTURE. NEARBY REGION 8971 (N18E16), STILL IMPOSING IN WHITE LIGHT, WAS STABLE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. AN ISOLATED LOW-LEVEL M-CLASS EVENT MAY OCCUR FROM REGION 8970 OR 8971.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 27 APR to 29 APR
Class M30%30%30%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 APR 190
  Predicted   27 APR-29 APR  185/180/175
  90 Day Mean        26 APR 187
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 APR  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 APR  003/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 APR-29 APR  010/015-010/015-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 APR to 29 APR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%30%30%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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