Viewing archive of Monday, 29 May 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 May 29 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 150 Issued at 2200Z on 29 MAY 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY A FEW FLARES OCCURRED AND ALL WERE BELOW C-LEVEL. REGION 9017 (S13E16) REMAINS THE MOST COMPLEX SUNSPOT GROUP ON THE VISIBLE DISK. REGIONS 9023 (S03W12) AND 9024 (S14E55) WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. REGION 9017 IS THE MOST LIKELY SOURCE OF FLARE ACTIVITY.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS MODERATE.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE DUE TO CORONAL HOLE RELATED ACTIVITY.
III. Event Probabilities 30 MAY to 01 JUN
Class M30%30%30%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 MAY 149
  Predicted   30 MAY-01 JUN  145/145/145
  90 Day Mean        29 MAY 193
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 MAY  010/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 MAY  015/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 MAY-01 JUN  020/018-015/015-015/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 MAY to 01 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%20%15%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active35%20%15%
Minor storm15%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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