Viewing archive of Monday, 8 January 2001

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2001 Jan 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 008 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jan 2001

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Occasional C-class x-ray events occurred, the largest a C5 at 1105 UTC. Region 9302 (N18E25) is the probable source of that flare, as inferred from YOHKOH/SXT data. One new region was numbered, 9306 (N12E58), a mature bipole with twelve spots. There may be other regions soon to appear at east limb, as indicated by surging near NE12.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to persist at the low level.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet throughout the interval.
III. Event Probabilities 09 Jan to 11 Jan
Class M20%20%20%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 Jan 167
  Predicted   09 Jan-11 Jan  170/175/180
  90 Day Mean        08 Jan 174
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jan  006/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 08 Jan  005/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 09 Jan-11 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jan to 11 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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