Viewing archive of Monday, 9 July 2001

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2001 Jul 09 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2001

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. The largest event of the period was an optically uncorrelated C3 flare at 09/0542 UTC. Other C-class flares were produced throughout the period by Region 9531 (S06E07), the largest being a C2/Sf at 09/0046 UTC. New Region 9533 (S09E29) was numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be predominantly low. Region 9531 and returning regions expected on the east limb may be potential sources of isolated moderate activity within the next three days.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. A single period of minor storm occurred at Boulder during 09/0000-0300 UTC. Conditions trended toward predominantly quiet levels later in the day.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Event Probabilities 10 Jul to 12 Jul
Class M20%25%30%
Class X01%01%05%
Proton01%01%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       09 Jul 130
  Predicted   10 Jul-12 Jul  135/140/145
  90 Day Mean        09 Jul 159
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul  011/016
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 09 Jul  011/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul  008/008-008/008-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul to 12 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%25%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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