Solar activity was moderate, due to the occurrence of a long-duration M2/1f flare from Region 9866 (S10E73) at 09/1856 UTC. This region has rotated into better view and now appears as a large and moderately complex bipolar group (in an Eko beta-gamma configuration, with 560 millionths areal coverage in white light). No reports of radio sweeps or SOHO/LASCO imagery, inferring potential CME characteristics, were received prior to the end of the period. Today's 10.7cm noon flux reading of 208sfu was likely enhanced due to the flare activity, so the morning reading of 184sfu has been substituted for the daily value. Other activity included minor C-class flares from Region 9864 (N19E43). No new regions were numbered today.

Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 9866 is a likely source of additional, isolated M-class activity.

The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The moderate enhancement of >2MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit during the past two days appeared to wane somewhat today.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled. A slight chance for isolated active periods may exist for day three of the forecast period, due to possible shock passage effects from today's M2 long -duration flare event.

  Observed       09 Mar 184
  Predicted   10 Mar-12 Mar  185/190/195
  90 Day Mean        09 Mar 218

  Observed Afr/Ap 08 Mar  004/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 09 Mar  006/006
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 10 Mar-12 Mar  005/006-005/006-008/008