Viewing archive of Saturday, 29 October 2005

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Oct 29 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 302 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Oct 2005

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity continues at very low levels. A small sunspot developed near S08E66 and was numbered as Region 818.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed has declined to near 360 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet levels.
III. Event Probabilities 30 Oct to 01 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Oct 074
  Predicted   30 Oct-01 Nov  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        29 Oct 086
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Oct  004/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Oct  003/003
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Oct to 01 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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