Viewing archive of Monday, 7 November 2005
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Nov 07 2204 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 311 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Nov 2005IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for isolated C-flares from Region 820 (S16W54).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 08 and 09 November. Mostly
unsettled conditions are possible on 10 November.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Nov to 10 Nov
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Nov 079 Predicted 08 Nov-10 Nov 080/080/080 90 Day Mean 07 Nov 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Nov 012/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Nov 005/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 005/005-005/005-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Nov to 10 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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