Viewing archive of Tuesday, 28 February 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Feb 28 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 059 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Feb 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. A 17 degree disappearing filament located at S28W40 occurred between 28/0021 UTC and 28/1505 UTC.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 01 Mar to 03 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       28 Feb 077
  Predicted   01 Mar-03 Mar  080/080/080
  90 Day Mean        28 Feb 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 27 Feb  002/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 28 Feb  005/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 01 Mar-03 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Mar to 03 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%20%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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