Viewing archive of Tuesday, 14 March 2006
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Mar 14 2203 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 073 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2006IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. Several
low B-class flares were observed from newly numbered Region 860
(S03E50). New Region 859 (S07W79) was also numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. Occasional B-class flares are expected from
Region 860.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled periods.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Mar to 17 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Mar 074 Predicted 15 Mar-17 Mar 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 14 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar 002/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Mar 003/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar to 17 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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