Viewing archive of Sunday, 28 May 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 May 28 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 148 Issued at 2200Z on 28 May 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. New region 890 (S14W29) produced a B1 flare at 28/1257Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. A period of unsettled conditions was observed from 28/0300Z - 28/0600Z, possibly due to a glancing blow from the CME which occurred on 26 May.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first two days (29-30 May). Predominantly unsettled conditions are expected on 31 May.
III. Event Probabilities 29 May to 31 May
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       28 May 085
  Predicted   29 May-31 May  085/085/080
  90 Day Mean        28 May 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 27 May  001/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 28 May  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 29 May-31 May  005/010-005/010-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 May to 31 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%25%25%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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