Viewing archive of Thursday, 1 June 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jun 01 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 152 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jun 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed has been steadily increasing over the past 24 hours, rising from approximately 400 km/s to approximately 550 km/s, indicating the onset of the coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active on 02 - 03 June with possible minor storm periods due to the coronal hole high speed stream. Expect quiet to unsettled conditions on 04 June.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jun to 04 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Jun 077
  Predicted   02 Jun-04 Jun  075/080/080
  90 Day Mean        01 Jun 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 31 May  004/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Jun  008/015
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun  015/020-015/020-005/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jun to 04 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%10%
Minor storm15%15%01%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active40%40%20%
Minor storm20%20%15%
Major-severe storm10%10%05%

All times in UTC

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