Viewing archive of Friday, 14 July 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jul 14 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 195 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jul 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity remains at very low levels. Region 900 (S05E43) a Cso beta group was numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. An isolated active period occurred between 14/1500 and 1800Z due to a solar sector boundary crossing.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jul to 17 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       14 Jul 071
  Predicted   15 Jul-17 Jul  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        14 Jul 080
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jul  003/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 14 Jul  006/009
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul  005/008-003/005-003/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jul to 17 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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