Viewing archive of Sunday, 25 February 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Feb 25 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 056 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Feb 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No significant activity was observed over the past 24 hours. Region 944 (S08E37) is the only spotted region on the visible disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (26 - 28 February). Isolated active periods are possible on 26 February due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Feb to 28 Feb
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Feb 077
  Predicted   26 Feb-28 Feb  078/079/080
  90 Day Mean        25 Feb 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Feb  002/001
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Feb  008/015
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Feb-28 Feb  010/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Feb to 28 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%10%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%10%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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