Viewing archive of Monday, 5 March 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Mar 05 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 064 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Mar 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for March 6 and 7 due to a recurrent coronal hole. Conditions for March 8 should return to quiet as the coronal hole rotates out of its geoeffective position.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Mar to 08 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 Mar 072
  Predicted   06 Mar-08 Mar  073/070/070
  90 Day Mean        05 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 04 Mar  004/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 05 Mar  009/009
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar  008/012-006/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Mar to 08 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%15%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%25%20%
Minor storm15%15%10%
Major-severe storm10%10%05%

All times in UTC

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