Viewing archive of Saturday, 25 August 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Aug 25 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 237 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Aug 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Region 969 (S05E22) could produce an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled, with isolated periods of active conditions. The increase in activity levels is expected due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Aug to 28 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Aug 072
  Predicted   26 Aug-28 Aug  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        25 Aug 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Aug  001/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Aug  008/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Aug-28 Aug  010/015-008/012-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Aug to 28 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%20%20%
Minor storm15%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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