Viewing archive of Friday, 7 December 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Dec 07 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 341 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Dec 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain very low, however, there is the chance for an isolated C-class flare from either Region 977 (S05W16) or 978 (S09E54).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels 08 - 09 December. On 10 December the geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective position.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Dec to 10 Dec
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Dec 082
  Predicted   08 Dec-10 Dec  085/085/085
  90 Day Mean        07 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Dec  001/001
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Dec  001/001
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Dec to 10 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%15%
Minor storm01%01%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%25%
Minor storm10%10%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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