Viewing archive of Monday, 23 June 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Jun 23 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 175 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jun 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (24-26 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled during the next three days (24-26 June). The increase in activity is forecast due to the expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 24 Jun to 26 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 Jun 065
  Predicted   24 Jun-26 Jun  065/065/065
  90 Day Mean        23 Jun 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jun  002/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 23 Jun  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun  005/008-010/008-005/009
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jun to 26 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%20%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%35%15%
Minor storm05%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%

All times in UTC

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