Viewing archive of Wednesday, 30 July 2008
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Jul 30 2203 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 212 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jul 2008IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains
spotless. No flare activity occurred during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. A single period of unsettled
conditions occurred from 0300-0600Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (31 July), quiet to unsettled on day
two (1 Aug) and returning to quiet on day three (2 Aug).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Jul to 02 Aug
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Jul 067 Predicted 31 Jul-02 Aug 066/066/066 90 Day Mean 30 Jul 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jul 002/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Jul 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Jul-02 Aug 005/005-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Jul to 02 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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