Viewing archive of Tuesday, 2 September 2008
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Sep 02 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 246 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Sep 2008IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk
remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on Day 1 (3 Sep). Unsettled to active
conditions are expected on Days 2-3 (4-5 Sep), with a slight chance
of isolated minor storm periods at high latitudes, as a recurrent
coronal hole becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Sep to 05 Sep
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Sep 066 Predicted 03 Sep-05 Sep 067/067/067 90 Day Mean 02 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Sep 002/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Sep 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Sep-05 Sep 005/005-007/008-015/018
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Sep to 05 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 35% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 45% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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