Viewing archive of Thursday, 5 February 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Feb 05 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 036 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Feb 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet. Active levels were observed at all latitudes between 05/00-03Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (6-8 February).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Feb to 08 Feb
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 Feb 070
  Predicted   06 Feb-08 Feb  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        05 Feb 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 04 Feb  010/016
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 05 Feb  007/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 06 Feb-08 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Feb to 08 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active01%01%01%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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