Viewing archive of Friday, 20 March 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Mar 20 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 079 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Mar 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains spotless. No flares were observed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The solar wind speed has increased from 290 to 380 Km/sec due to a coronal hole high speed stream. The Bz has ranged from -5 to +7nT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled for day one (21 March). Activity will return to quiet for days two and three (22-23 March).
III. Event Probabilities 21 Mar to 23 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       20 Mar 069
  Predicted   21 Mar-23 Mar  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        20 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 19 Mar  003/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 20 Mar  003/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 21 Mar-23 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Mar to 23 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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