Viewing archive of Monday, 23 March 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Mar 23 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 082 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Mar 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind velocities at ACE ranged from 361-438 km/s, while the IMF Bz ranged between -3 nT and +7 nT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (24-26 March).
III. Event Probabilities 24 Mar to 26 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 Mar 068
  Predicted   24 Mar-26 Mar  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        23 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 22 Mar  004/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 23 Mar  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 24 Mar-26 Mar  005/005-005/005-006/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Mar to 26 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%15%
Minor storm05%01%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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