Viewing archive of Tuesday, 14 April 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Apr 14 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 104 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Apr 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for 15-16 April. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for 17 April due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Apr to 17 Apr
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       14 Apr 069
  Predicted   15 Apr-17 Apr  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        14 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 13 Apr  003/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 14 Apr  002/002
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 15 Apr-17 Apr  005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Apr to 17 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%10%
Minor storm01%01%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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