Viewing archive of Friday, 8 May 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 May 08 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 128 Issued at 2200Z on 08 May 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active, with active periods from 0000 to 0900 UTC. Solar wind velocities declined from 520 to 460 km/s during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated periods of active conditions on day 1 (May 09) and quiet to unsettled for days 2 and 3 (May 10-11).
III. Event Probabilities 09 May to 11 May
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 May 071
  Predicted   09 May-11 May  072/072/072
  90 Day Mean        08 May 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 07 May  007/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 08 May  010/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May  007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 May to 11 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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