Viewing archive of Thursday, 9 July 2009
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Jul 09 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2009IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. Region 1024 (S09W65) was quiet and stable as it
approached the west limb.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Solar wind started to
increase at approximately 1700Z due to coronal hole effects. This
resulted in an unsettled period for 1800Z to 2100Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected be quiet on day one (10 July). Day two (11 July) is
expected to be quiet to unsettled due to possible coronal hole
effects. Day three (12 July) is expected to be quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 10 Jul to 12 Jul
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Jul 069 Predicted 10 Jul-12 Jul 069/069/068 90 Day Mean 09 Jul 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul 003/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 005/005-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul to 12 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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