Viewing archive of Wednesday, 29 July 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Jul 29 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 210 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jul 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. The solar disk was void of sunspots.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the first day (30 July). Quiet to unsettled conditions with a slight chance for isolated active periods are expected for the second and third day (31 July - 01 August) due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jul to 01 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Jul 068
  Predicted   30 Jul-01 Aug  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        29 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jul  003/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Jul  002/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Jul-01 Aug  005/005-007/007-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jul to 01 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%20%20%
Minor storm01%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%20%20%
Minor storm01%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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