Viewing archive of Tuesday, 10 November 2009
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Nov 10 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 314 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Nov 2009IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low for the past 24 hours.
Region 1030 (N24W62) has decayed to an Axx-beta group with three
spots. No flares were observed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next three days (11-13 November).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the next three days (11-13 November).
III. Event Probabilities 11 Nov to 13 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Nov 073 Predicted 11 Nov-13 Nov 072/072/073 90 Day Mean 10 Nov 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Nov 002/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Nov 001/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Nov-13 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Nov to 13 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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