Viewing archive of Sunday, 4 July 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jul 04 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 185 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jul 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1084 (S19W32) was
quiet and stable. A new, emerging flux region was observed near
N19W38.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels for the next three days (05 - 07 July).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind velocity was steady at
about 600 km/s through 04/0700Z when speeds gradually decayed to
near 500 km/s by the end of the summary period. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during
the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (05 - 07 July).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Jul to 07 Jul
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Jul 072 Predicted 05 Jul-07 Jul 074/074/074 90 Day Mean 04 Jul 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jul 006/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jul 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jul to 07 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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