Viewing archive of Monday, 27 June 2011
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2011 Jun 27 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 178 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Jun 2011IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. Region 1236
(N16, L=170) produced two B-class flares from behind the west limb.
The most significant flare from Region 1236 was a long-duration B6
flare at 27/1542Z. Region 1241 (N18W46) produced a B3/Sf flare at
27/1216Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels during the period (28 - 30 June), with a chance for
an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels, with isolated unsettled to
active levels at high latitudes. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels during the period (28 - 30 June).
III. Event Probabilities 28 Jun to 30 Jun
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Jun 089 Predicted 28 Jun-30 Jun 092/094/096 90 Day Mean 27 Jun 102
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Jun 006/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Jun 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Jun-30 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Jun to 30 Jun
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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