Issued: 2014 Apr 08 1253 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
08 Apr 2014 | 140 | 010 |
09 Apr 2014 | 140 | 011 |
10 Apr 2014 | 140 | 007 |
Since our last bulletin, three C-class flares were produced. They all originated from Catania sunspot group 8 (NOAA AR 1926). The GOES X-ray flux background was at B-class level. A new region emerged near S03E30. Eruptive flaring activity is expected for the next 48 hours with a slight chance for M-class flares. No Earth bounded CMEs were observed. Solar wind observations from ACE showed an increase of the solar wind speed at 17h UT of April 7 from 360 to 480 km/s and then a decline to 400 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field varied between 1 and 11 nT, with a Bz component fluctuating between -10 and 6 nT. The periods with a negative Bz resulted in unsettled to active magnetic conditions (both local K at Dourbes and NOAA planetary Kp). So far, there were no clear signatures of arrival of a shock related to the CME of April 4, but it is still possible in the next few hours. Unsettled conditions are expected for the next 48 hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 085, based on 20 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 131 |
10cm solar flux | 140 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 011 |
Estimated Ap | 010 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 082 - Based on 24 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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