Viewing archive of Thursday, 26 May 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 May 26 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 26 May 2016 until 28 May 2016
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
26 May 2016093008
27 May 2016090018
28 May 2016089010

Bulletin

NOAA 2548 produced the strongest flare of the period, a B9.3 flare peaking at 21:17UT on 25 May. The region is slowly developing, with a few minor filaments near the main spot and some areas of mixed magnetic polarities. NOAA 2546 was quiet and is approaching the western solar limb. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed.

There's a chance on an isolated C-class flare.

Solar wind speed continued its gradual decline from an initial 400 km/s to around 330 km/s by the end of the period. Bz varied between -4 and +4 nT, being mostly positive. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field was directed away from the Sun. Quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed.

Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected until the arrival of the co-rotating interaction region (CIR) associated with the wind stream from the small negative southern coronal hole (CH). A sector boundary crossing may precede or coincide with the CIR. The arrival of these structures is expected for 26 or 27 May, and may result in active geomagnetic conditions with a slight chance on a minor storming episode. Effects from the wind stream from the negative northern CH are expected for 28 May.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 033, based on 28 stations.

Solar indices for 25 May 2016

Wolf number Catania048
10cm solar flux094
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst003
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number031 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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