Issued: 2016 Jul 25 1245 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
25 Jul 2016 | 082 | 016 |
26 Jul 2016 | 080 | 007 |
27 Jul 2016 | 078 | 007 |
One M class flare was recorded in the past 24 h: M1.9 peaking at 17:43 UT on July 25 from NOAA AR 2567. As this AR rotated over the west limb, the visible Sun became spotless and flaring activity greatly reduced. C-class flares can still be expected from this AR in the coming hours. Geomagnetic conditions were mostly active during past 24 h due to (most likely) a small ICME that reached ACE around 15:00 UT on July 24 (corresponding to a CME that erupted on July 20). Solar wind speed is currently at 450 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 5 nT. Active conditions are possible within 48h in response to the arrival of the high speed stream from a northern coronal hole, as well as of the low- probability glancing blow from the 23 July CME.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 24 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 082 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 033 |
AK Wingst | 018 |
Estimated Ap | 018 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 014 - Based on 31 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | 1730 | 1743 | 1812 | ---- | M1.9 | 09/2567 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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