Issued: 2017 Jul 09 1230 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
09 Jul 2017 | 087 | 023 |
10 Jul 2017 | 089 | 007 |
11 Jul 2017 | 091 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2665 (the only visible AR on the disk) produced an M1.3 flare, with peak at 03:18 UT. This region continues to grow, more M-class flares can be expected (and less likely X-flares).
No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.
The expected high speed stream from an equatorial coronal hole arrived with a shock at 23:27 UT on July 8. The speed reached 520 km/s with the southward component of the interplanetary magnetic fields reaching - 10 nT, with elevated density, causing active conditions locally (K = 4, at 03:00 UT and 07:00 UT) and minor storm conditions at planetary levels (Kp = 5, between 00:00 UT and 03:00 UT). Disturbed geomagnetic conditions can be expected for the next 24 h.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 045, based on 24 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 087 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 019 |
AK Wingst | 004 |
Estimated Ap | 005 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 032 - Based on 33 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09 | 0309 | 0318 | 0337 | S08E37 | M1.3 | 2N | 36/2665 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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