Viewing archive of Wednesday, 16 August 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Aug 16 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 16 Aug 2017 until 18 Aug 2017
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
16 Aug 2017074010
17 Aug 2017077022
18 Aug 2017080007

Bulletin

NOAA AR 2671 produced only 1 C-class flare in past 24 h (C1.1 peak at 13:52 UT on August 15), associated with a CME directed to the west that is not expected to affect the Earth. This region has a beta magnetic field configuration and it is still evolving, more C-class flares can be expected (and less likely M-class flares).

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet (K and Kp 1 to 2). Solar wind speed is at 370 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field intensity of 5 nT. The fast solar wind from a coronal hole is expected to arrive within 24 h, producing K values up to 5 (with possible isolated periods of K values up to 6).

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 029, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 15 Aug 2017

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number021 - Based on 28 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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