Viewing archive of Sunday, 8 March 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Mar 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 68 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Mar 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Mar, 10 Mar, 11 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 413 km/s at 08/0348Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
07/2104Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
08/1937Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 183 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (09 Mar) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (10 Mar, 11 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Mar to 11 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Mar 070 Predicted 09 Mar-11 Mar 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 08 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Mar 005/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Mar 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 006/005-007/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Mar to 11 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 30% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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